A new poll has found that US President Donald Trump’s net approval rating has turned negative in 11 states he won by double-digit margins in the 2024 election, underscoring a decline in support across some of his strongest political strongholds ahead of November’s midterm elections.
The findings are based on Civiqs’ rolling online tracking poll of registered voters, updated through July 30, which found Trump’s approval rating at 36 percent and his disapproval rating at 59 percent, giving him a net approval rating of minus 24.
The poll has gathered responses from more than 120,000 registered voters since Trump’s second term began on January 20, 2025.
The state-by-state data show that every one of the 11 states now recording negative net approval ratings had given Trump a positive approval margin at the start of his second term. Alaska and Iowa recorded the sharpest declines, each standing at minus 14, while Texas and Ohio followed at minus 13. Mississippi, Kentucky, Nebraska and Louisiana also registered negative ratings, although by narrower margins.
The survey also found that Trump’s approval has weakened even in states where he remains most popular. In Wyoming, his net approval fell from plus 45 at the beginning of his term to plus 19, while North Dakota saw a similar decline from plus 31 to plus 19.
According to the polling analysis, Trump’s support began to decline after his administration introduced sweeping tariffs on US trading partners in April 2025.
In states including Kentucky and Missouri, the downturn accelerated following the start of the US war on Iran in February 2026. The unprovoked war has also been associated with broader economic pressures, including disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and volatility in global energy markets.
The findings come as several of the affected states—including Iowa, Ohio and Texas—prepare for closely watched Senate races that could determine control of the chamber. Democrats need to gain four seats to secure a Senate majority, and recent polls have shown Democratic candidates holding narrow leads in each of the three states.
Responding to the survey, White House spokesman Davis Ingle dismissed the findings, pointing to Trump’s 2024 election victory as evidence of his public mandate.
He said the administration had achieved “historic progress” at home and abroad, describing Trump as “the most dominant figure in American politics.”
